What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 Apr 2019 → 04 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 10 Jun 2020 → 18 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 26 Jul 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 20 Oct 2025 → 14 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 May 2025 → 15 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 11 Aug 2023 → 22 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 19 Apr 2024 → 03 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 06 Oct 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 Nov 2021 → 12 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 19 Apr 2026 → 08 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 249 | 54 | 21.7% | 18 | 18 |
| Polish Cup | 82 | 21 | 25.6% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 5 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 13 |
| 2025 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2023 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 11 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 17 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 313 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Raków Częstochowa drew 70 where the draw model expected 80.2 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 81.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.