What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 03 Apr 2007 → 01 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 15 Jul 2015 → 07 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Dec 2007 → 05 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 22 Mar 2014 → 20 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 20 Feb 2015 → 25 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 05 Aug 1995 → 21 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 24 Jul 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 13 Jul 2019 → 28 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Oct 2018 → 05 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Championship | 796 | 211 | 26.5% | 2 | 14 |
| Scottish League One | 280 | 70 | 25.0% | 1 | 19 |
| Scottish League Cup | 76 | 15 | 19.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Premiership | 72 | 14 | 19.4% | 0 | 9 |
| Scottish Cup | 60 | 9 | 15.0% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 12 |
| 2021 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 4 |
| 2019 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 12 |
| 2018 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2017 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 10 |
| 2016 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 17 |
| 2014 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 16 |
| 2013 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2012 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2011 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2007 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 22 |
| 2006 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2005 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2004 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2003 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2002 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2001 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 1997 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 1995 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 1994 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
Over 491 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Raith Rovers drew 127 where the draw model expected 121.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.