What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 05 Apr 2024 → 20 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 30 Jul 2022 → 06 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 30 Apr 2023 → 25 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 22 Oct 2021 → 11 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 14 Sep 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 16 May 2026 → 08 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 08 Mar 2025 → 12 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 29 Sep 2024 → 29 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Aug 2005 → 30 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 11 Apr 2026 → 04 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 182 | 52 | 28.6% | 5 | 20 |
| Polish Cup | 61 | 14 | 23.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 16 |
| 2021 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 202 matches (Jul 2016 – Oct 2026), Radomiak Radom drew 58 where the draw model expected 55.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.