What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 02 Nov 2025 → 03 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 16 Aug 2025 → 17 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 08 Mar 2024 → 26 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 16 Aug 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Jun 2024 → 17 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 17 Jun 2025 → 29 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 15 Apr 2025 → 02 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 01 Aug 2021 → 18 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 21 Jul 2026 → 02 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 28 Jun 2026 → 11 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 89 | 33 | 37.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Chinese FA Cup | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 16 | 50.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 106 matches (Dec 2018 – Oct 2026), Qingdao West Coast drew 37 where the draw model expected 24.9 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.