What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 100 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2025), Puszcza Niepołomice drew 31 where the draw model expected 26.2 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 28 Sep 2024 → 03 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 27 Oct 2023 → 11 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 02 Mar 2025 → 01 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 25 Apr 2025 → 19 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 18 Aug 2023 → 15 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 14 Aug 2020 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 26 Sep 2018 → 14 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 10 Feb 2025 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 23 Jul 2023 → 07 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 18 Jul 2015 → 12 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 68 | 23 | 33.8% | 0 | 9 |
| Polish Cup | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
Wieczysta Kraków
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.