What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 28 Sep 2024 → 03 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 27 Oct 2023 → 11 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 02 Mar 2025 → 01 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 25 Apr 2025 → 19 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 18 Aug 2023 → 15 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 14 Aug 2020 → 02 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 26 Sep 2018 → 14 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 10 Feb 2025 → 23 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 23 Jul 2023 → 07 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 18 Jul 2015 → 12 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 68 | 23 | 33.8% | 0 | 9 |
| Polish Cup | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
Over 101 matches (Jul 2015 – Oct 2026), Puszcza Niepołomice drew 31 where the draw model expected 26.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.