What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 27 Mar 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 05 Feb 2022 → 06 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 13 Feb 2024 → 01 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 18 Nov 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 09 Oct 2022 → 30 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 May 2021 → 11 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 22 Nov 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 18 Oct 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 10 Apr 2022 → 03 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 13 Apr 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 152 | 53 | 34.9% | 3 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2023 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 20 | 47.6% | 5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 5 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 153 matches (Sep 2020 – Apr 2024), Pro Sesto drew 53 where the draw model expected 48.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 46.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.