What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 16 Nov 2025 → 01 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 21 Dec 2024 → 22 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 16 Oct 2022 → 27 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 18 Oct 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 22 Sep 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 23 Dec 2018 → 04 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 16 Sep 2018 → 21 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 13 Feb 2019 → 23 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Apr 2024 → 25 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 04 Feb 2024 → 25 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 278 | 90 | 32.4% | 3 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2023 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2022 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 5 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 283 matches (Sep 2018 – Aug 2026), Pro Patria drew 90 where the draw model expected 89.7 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 85.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.