What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 13 Feb 2024 → 04 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 27 Mar 2012 → 08 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 05 Nov 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 28 Jul 2018 → 28 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 18 Mar 2018 → 05 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 09 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 04 Apr 2015 → 23 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 27 Mar 2009 → 12 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Aug 2025 → 10 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 02 Feb 2025 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 392 | 111 | 28.3% | 4 | 14 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 68 | 24 | 35.3% | 1 | 7 |
| Regionalliga West | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 1 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 15 |
| 2023 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2016 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 2012 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 13 |
| 2011 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
Over 334 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Preußen Münster drew 91 where the draw model expected 92.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 91.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.