What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 17 Jul 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 19 Sep 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 21 Jul 2019 → 18 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 25 May 2019 → 10 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 10 Mar 2019 → 10 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 17 Jun 2012 → 28 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 18 Apr 2021 → 19 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 19 Jun 2024 → 20 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 27 Apr 2024 → 29 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 28 Jul 2018 → 29 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 531 | 149 | 28.1% | 3 | 18 |
| US Open Cup | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 0 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 6 |
| 2025 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 12 |
| 2018 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2015 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2014 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2013 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 9 |
Over 451 matches (Mar 2015 – Nov 2026), Portland Timbers drew 116 where the draw model expected 113.6 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.