What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 09 Oct 2022 → 19 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 12 Feb 2022 → 05 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 23 Nov 2019 → 29 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 10 May 2021 → 18 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 26 Jun 2020 → 17 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 30 Jul 2017 → 10 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 Apr 2022 → 25 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 16 Mar 2021 → 17 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 15 Feb 2020 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 11 Aug 2019 → 21 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie B | 114 | 34 | 29.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Serie C | 110 | 43 | 39.1% | 3 | 8 |
| Coppa Italia | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2022 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 37 | 16 | 43.2% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 237 matches (Jul 2016 – Apr 2023), Pordenone Calcio drew 81 where the draw model expected 71.8 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 72.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.