What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 29 Oct 2023 → 04 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 11 Jan 2025 → 11 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 31 Oct 2021 → 22 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 20 Nov 2022 → 09 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 12 Sep 2021 → 19 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 23 Sep 2020 → 25 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 28 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 17 Feb 2019 → 23 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 23 Dec 2017 → 11 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 08 Nov 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 314 | 96 | 30.6% | 4 | 14 |
| Coppa Italia | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 25 | 11 | 44.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 318 matches (Aug 2015 – Apr 2026), Pontedera drew 97 where the draw model expected 97.4 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 96.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.