What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 27 Jun 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 27 Mar 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 18 May 2014 → 11 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 28 Sep 2012 → 25 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 23 Aug 2015 → 03 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 14 Aug 2021 → 25 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 22 Nov 2015 → 19 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 15 Feb 2015 → 28 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 27 Jan 2013 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 06 Nov 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 420 | 132 | 31.4% | 1 | 18 |
| Copa del Rey | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2023 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 16 |
| 2021 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 18 |
| 2019 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2014 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2013 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 10 |
| 2011 | 27 | 13 | 48.2% | 4 |
| 2010 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
Over 262 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), SD Ponferradina drew 85 where the draw model expected 79.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 77.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.