What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 21 Sep 2012 → 01 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 15 Mar 2021 → 03 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 04 Apr 2016 → 01 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 12 Dec 2015 → 01 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 May 2015 → 05 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 23 Aug 2014 → 29 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 06 Dec 2020 → 07 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 18 Sep 2020 → 24 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 22 Nov 2014 → 14 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 10 May 2013 → 02 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 171 | 52 | 30.4% | 1 | 10 |
| Polish Cup | 56 | 17 | 30.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2016 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2013 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2012 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2011 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 109 matches (Feb 2015 – Aug 2026), Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała drew 33 where the draw model expected 28.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 28.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.