What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Mar 2013 → 21 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 25 Feb 2023 → 08 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Jan 2011 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Apr 2025 → 23 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 18 Apr 1998 → 19 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Feb 2022 → 02 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 11 Mar 2007 → 14 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 22 Oct 1994 → 07 Jan 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 25 Aug 2026 → 24 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 18 Oct 2025 → 26 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 612 | 145 | 23.7% | 0 | 15 |
| League Two | 543 | 140 | 25.8% | 3 | 17 |
| Championship | 368 | 102 | 27.7% | 7 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 263 | 57 | 21.7% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 154 | 33 | 21.4% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 12 |
| 2025 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 14 |
| 2024 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 16 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 13 |
| 2021 | 57 | 14 | 24.6% | 8 |
| 2020 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2018 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2015 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2014 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 18 |
| 2012 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 2011 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 15 |
| 2010 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 13 |
| 2006 | 49 | 18 | 36.7% | 5 |
| 2005 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2003 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2001 | 56 | 18 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2000 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1997 | 51 | 21 | 41.2% | 7 |
| 1996 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 1995 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 1994 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 1993 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 1992 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1973 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1905 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 587 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Plymouth Argyle drew 130 where the draw model expected 159.6 from those particular fixtures — about 30 fewer, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.