What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 18 Oct 2020 → 10 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 02 Dec 2018 → 10 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 20 Feb 2019 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 12 Sep 1999 → 14 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 01 Feb 2002 → 17 Mar 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 03 Mar 2021 → 03 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 24 Jan 2021 → 17 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 03 Dec 2017 → 28 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 14 Jan 2001 → 18 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 11 Apr 2021 → 29 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 164 | 51 | 31.1% | 2 | 14 |
| Serie B | 114 | 33 | 29.0% | 5 | 9 |
| Coppa Italia | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 2021 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 13 |
| 2019 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 9 |
| 2018 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2001 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2000 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1999 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
Over 166 matches (Sep 2017 – Aug 2026), US Pistoiese drew 51 where the draw model expected 51.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.