What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 30 May 2018 → 29 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 08 Jul 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 20 Sep 2012 → 30 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 06 Oct 2018 → 10 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 26 May 2012 → 12 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 Nov 2025 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 13 Aug 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Oct 2015 → 23 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 02 Oct 2024 → 29 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 06 May 2017 → 24 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 518 | 131 | 25.3% | 1 | 14 |
| US Open Cup | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 1 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 13 |
| 2021 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2020 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 5 | 12.2% | 18 |
| 2017 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 7 |
| 2013 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 11 |
Over 453 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Philadelphia Union drew 115 where the draw model expected 113.5 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.