What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 30 Apr 1997 → 16 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 11 Oct 2008 → 18 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 30 May 2014 → 31 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 24 Jun 1993 → 29 Aug 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 11 Jun 1972 → 28 Mar 1973 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 27 Jul 1975 → 28 Oct 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 05 Sep 2021 → 16 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Mar 2012 → 07 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 15 Jul 2001 → 08 Nov 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Sep 1985 → 01 Apr 1986 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 290 | 74 | 25.5% | 2 | 10 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 186 | 47 | 25.3% | 2 | 8 |
| Copa América | 164 | 41 | 25.0% | 2 | 8 |
| Copa del Pacífico | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 3 | 4 |
| Pan American Championship | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Kirin Cup | 6 | 5 | 83.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Copa Ramón Castilla | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Gold Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Bolivarian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Nehru Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Miami Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| USA Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Marlboro Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2024 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2023 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2015 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 3 |
| 2012 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 2008 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2006 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2005 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 2003 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2001 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1999 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1994 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1993 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 1984 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1982 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1977 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 1973 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1972 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 1969 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1968 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1957 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1956 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1947 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1942 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1941 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 140 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Peru drew 35 where the draw model expected 31.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.