☆
· ITA · Serie C
Team ☆
all results ›
ITA · Club
Pergolettese
Unione Sportiva Pergolettese 1932
Played
244
Draw %
25.0%
No-draw N
1
Max streak
13
13 Mar 2025 → 21 Sep 2025
Avg top run
8.7
top 10
Draw debt E
0.26
p50
28.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.128
rank #1,284
Draws
61
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,423
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,532
reached 6 Mar 2022
Rank
#14,413
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
244
last 26 Apr 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 244 matches (Aug 2019 – Apr 2026), Pergolettese drew 61 where the draw model expected 76.1 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 74.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 13
13 Mar 2025 → 21 Sep 2025
2 11
19 Sep 2023 → 19 Nov 2023
3 9
03 Feb 2024 → 16 Mar 2024
4 9
27 Nov 2022 → 21 Jan 2023
5 9
25 Oct 2020 → 13 Dec 2020
6 8
22 Dec 2024 → 15 Feb 2025
7 8
17 Feb 2021 → 28 Mar 2021
8 7
03 Dec 2023 → 20 Jan 2024
9 7
10 Apr 2022 → 17 Sep 2022
10 6
07 Feb 2026 → 03 Mar 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13 Mar 2025 → 21 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 19 Sep 2023 → 19 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 03 Feb 2024 → 16 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 27 Nov 2022 → 21 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 25 Oct 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 22 Dec 2024 → 15 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 17 Feb 2021 → 28 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 03 Dec 2023 → 20 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 10 Apr 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 07 Feb 2026 → 03 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 244 | 61 | 25.0% | 1 | 13 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 13 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 11 |
| 2022 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
244 matches · page 1 / 7
‹ prev
next ›