What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 01 Mar 2022 → 12 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 Apr 2021 → 28 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Jan 2021 → 02 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 19 Aug 2018 → 28 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 01 Oct 2016 → 28 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 02 Oct 2022 → 23 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 17 Mar 2019 → 18 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 27 Aug 2017 → 15 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 09 Jul 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 01 Nov 2021 → 27 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 173 | 54 | 31.2% | 7 | 9 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 11 | 14 |
| Copa Argentina | 24 | 11 | 45.8% | 1 | 2 |
| Supercopa Argentina | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 12 |
| 2021 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2020 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 3 |
| 2019 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2018 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 9 |
| 2017 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 231 matches (Mar 2015 – Jul 2023), Patronato drew 66 where the draw model expected 69.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 69.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.