What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 18 May 2014 → 07 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Mar 1996 → 09 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Aug 2011 → 29 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 17 Sep 2006 → 29 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 31 Mar 2012 → 16 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 28 Apr 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 10 Apr 2021 → 15 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 20 Oct 2000 → 17 Dec 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 15 Jul 2020 → 18 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Nov 2001 → 06 Jan 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 954 | 273 | 28.6% | 1 | 15 |
| Serie B | 198 | 67 | 33.8% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 83 | 19 | 22.9% | 8 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 6 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2019 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2017 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2015 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 8 |
| 2014 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 15 |
| 2013 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2011 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 14 |
| 2010 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2009 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 2008 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 13 | 32.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 13 |
| 2005 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2003 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2002 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 1998 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 6 |
| 1997 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 15 |
| 1995 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 1994 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 9 |
| 1993 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 10 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 417 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Parma Calcio drew 123 where the draw model expected 111.5 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 118.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.