What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 07 Dec 2024 → 19 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Aug 2024 → 26 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Feb 2023 → 22 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 02 Jun 2023 → 26 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Apr 2026 → 18 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Apr 2024 → 10 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 08 Nov 2019 → 04 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 04 Aug 2017 → 19 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 19 Sep 2026 → 01 Nov 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 04 Nov 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 328 | 102 | 31.1% | 1 | 17 |
| Ligue 1 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2024 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2018 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 |
| 2017 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 21 | 13 | 61.9% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 394 matches (Jul 2015 – Nov 2026), Paris FC drew 120 where the draw model expected 119.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 118.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.