What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 24 May 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 23 Nov 2025 → 05 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 29 May 2024 → 31 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 12 Sep 2021 → 19 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 30 Nov 2024 → 04 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 09 Mar 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 16 Oct 2022 → 12 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 Sep 2023 → 05 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Aug 2023 → 02 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 01 Apr 2023 → 30 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 156 | 33 | 21.2% | 0 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 13 |
| 2024 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 9 |
| 2023 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2022 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 159 matches (May 2019 – Sep 2026), Pari Nizhny Novgorod drew 33 where the draw model expected 39.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 40.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.