What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 29 Nov 2017 → 23 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 23 Jan 2025 → 24 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 11 Nov 2018 → 30 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 31 Mar 1982 → 29 Jul 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 04 Apr 1999 → 09 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 12 Nov 2023 → 04 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 07 Dec 2019 → 23 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 09 Nov 1997 → 29 Jan 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 20 Oct 1976 → 19 Apr 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 11 Dec 2016 → 09 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 1031 | 222 | 21.5% | 9 | 26 |
| Greek Football Cup | 397 | 80 | 20.2% | 0 | 19 |
| UEFA Europa League | 172 | 49 | 28.5% | 4 | 7 |
| UEFA Conference League | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 6 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 11 |
| 2025 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 20 |
| 2024 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2022 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 9 |
| 2021 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 2020 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 13 |
| 2019 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2018 | 44 | 2 | 4.6% | 25 |
| 2017 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 12 |
| 2016 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2015 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 13 |
| 2013 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2012 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 11 |
| 2011 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2010 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2009 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 7 |
| 2007 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2005 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2004 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2002 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2001 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2000 | 49 | 13 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 43 | 6 | 14.0% | 18 |
| 1998 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 1997 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 1996 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 5 |
| 1995 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 1994 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1991 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 1984 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1983 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 1982 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1981 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1977 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1974 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1973 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 569 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), PAOK Thessaloniki drew 119 where the draw model expected 125.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 134.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.