What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 06 Feb 2000 → 06 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 01 Sep 1997 → 03 Dec 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Oct 1999 → 16 Jan 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 13 May 1998 → 01 Nov 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 09 Mar 1997 → 18 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 23 Dec 1996 → 09 Feb 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 24 Apr 1999 → 11 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 01 Oct 1995 → 03 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Jan 2004 → 20 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 11 Nov 1998 → 14 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 230 | 51 | 22.2% | 1 | 17 |
| Greek Football Cup | 86 | 19 | 22.1% | 0 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2004 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2003 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 18 |
| 1999 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 1998 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1997 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 14 |
| 1996 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1977 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 316 matches (May 1963 – Sep 2014), Paniliakos drew 70 where the draw model expected 74.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 74.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.