What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 04 Apr 2026 → 17 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 25 Apr 2015 → 23 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 01 Nov 2023 → 20 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 04 May 2014 → 30 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 16 Feb 2023 → 30 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 13 Oct 2022 → 04 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 06 May 2017 → 27 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 10 May 2025 → 16 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 06 Apr 2013 → 30 Jul 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 26 Jan 2013 → 16 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 539 | 144 | 26.7% | 3 | 13 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Intercontinental Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Campeón de Campeones | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2025 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2022 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 13 |
| 2014 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2012 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 459 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), CF Pachuca drew 122 where the draw model expected 123.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 123.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.