What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 12 Nov 2016 → 19 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Oct 2000 → 14 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 09 May 1999 → 03 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 14 Oct 2017 → 23 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 08 Mar 1998 → 15 May 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 23 Feb 1997 → 04 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 08 May 1996 → 13 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 06 Aug 2025 → 17 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 31 Mar 2018 → 02 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 23 Apr 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 516 | 165 | 32.0% | 1 | 13 |
| La Liga | 350 | 106 | 30.3% | 3 | 13 |
| Copa del Rey | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2025 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 10 |
| 2024 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 47 | 24 | 51.1% | 4 |
| 2020 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 7 |
| 2018 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2016 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2002 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2001 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2000 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 1999 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 12 |
| 1998 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 1997 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 11 |
| 1996 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 11 |
| 1995 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 1994 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 491 matches (Aug 2015 – Nov 2026), Real Oviedo drew 154 where the draw model expected 149.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 144.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.