What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 20 Aug 2016 → 16 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 21 Jul 2018 → 05 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 27 Sep 2020 → 21 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 25 Nov 2017 → 15 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 08 Aug 2021 → 26 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 02 May 2021 → 26 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 19 Oct 2019 → 18 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 Aug 2019 → 30 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 20 Aug 2017 → 17 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 30 Oct 2021 → 04 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 180 | 45 | 25.0% | 5 | 16 |
| Swedish Cup | 71 | 9 | 12.7% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2020 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 17 |
| 2017 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 13 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 240 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Östersunds FK drew 55 where the draw model expected 56.3 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 56.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.