What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 29 Apr 1962 → 21 Oct 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 08 May 1949 → 09 Oct 1949 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 24 Jun 2001 → 02 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 15 Jun 2003 → 06 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 30 Apr 1950 → 06 Aug 1950 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Aug 2002 → 06 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 20 Aug 1950 → 22 Oct 1950 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 13 Apr 2003 → 16 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 26 May 2002 → 19 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 16 Sep 2001 → 28 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwegian Football Cup | 266 | 47 | 17.7% | 1 | 6 |
| 1. divisjon | 90 | 17 | 18.9% | 3 | 11 |
| Eliteserien | 86 | 14 | 16.3% | 20 | 20 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2002 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 13 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1987 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 23 | 0 | 0.0% | 23 |
| 1961 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1951 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1950 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 9 |
| 1949 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 15 |
| 1948 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 1947 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1932 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1929 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1928 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1927 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1926 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1918 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1917 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1916 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 442 matches (Sep 1908 – Aug 2026), FK Ørn Horten drew 78 where the draw model expected 70.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 78.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.