What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 03 Dec 2019 → 09 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 24 Aug 2018 → 09 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 16 Dec 2016 → 24 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 05 Apr 2019 → 03 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 31 Mar 2017 → 05 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 03 Apr 2015 → 01 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 06 Apr 2018 → 27 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 09 Sep 2016 → 30 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 15 Feb 2019 → 02 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 30 Nov 2018 → 21 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 180 | 46 | 25.6% | 12 | 12 |
| Coupe de France | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2019 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 10 |
| 2017 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2015 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 6 |
| 2014 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 176 matches (Jan 2015 – Jul 2026), US Orléans drew 43 where the draw model expected 51.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 52.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.