What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 21 Jul 2022 → 16 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 Mar 2018 → 13 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 19 Feb 2017 → 06 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 24 Aug 2024 → 27 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 11 Oct 2025 → 04 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 14 May 2025 → 28 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 02 Apr 2022 → 14 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 15 Apr 2026 → 13 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 18 Mar 2023 → 09 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 16 May 2021 → 07 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 413 | 110 | 26.6% | 1 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 8 |
| 2025 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 17 |
| 2021 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 5 |
| 2019 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 15 |
| 2017 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
Over 453 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Orlando City SC drew 121 where the draw model expected 112.5 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.