What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 03 Mar 2013 → 21 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 4 | 13 Sep 2026 → 18 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 4 | 24 Jul 2026 → 16 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 03 May 2026 → 23 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 01 Jun 2000 → 05 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 3 | 25 Jun 2026 → 11 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 3 | 11 Apr 2026 → 22 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 16 Feb 2025 → 01 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 18 Feb 2024 → 03 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 19 Feb 2022 → 07 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swedish Cup | 95 | 19 | 20.0% | 0 | 6 |
| Allsvenskan | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 140 matches (Jul 1949 – Oct 2026), Örgryte IS drew 31 where the draw model expected 26.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.