What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 25 Feb 2013 → 18 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 19 Nov 2011 → 22 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 30 Sep 2009 → 27 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 28 Oct 2012 → 19 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 15 Jan 2012 → 01 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 12 Feb 2012 → 03 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 21 Feb 1979 → 29 Jul 1979 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 28 Nov 2012 → 08 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 01 Oct 2011 → 23 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 28 Jan 2013 → 03 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 68 | 23 | 33.8% | 12 | 12 |
| Turkish Cup | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2012 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1977 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
Over 118 matches (Mar 1970 – Sep 2016), Orduspor drew 38 where the draw model expected 30.6 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 28.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.