What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 25 Jul 2015 → 28 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 05 Jul 2020 → 31 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 19 Nov 2017 → 17 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 07 Aug 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 13 Feb 2021 → 11 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 24 Nov 2019 → 07 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 21 Sep 2019 → 03 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 22 Apr 2018 → 29 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 29 Sep 2018 → 03 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 Apr 2021 → 06 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 177 | 50 | 28.2% | 0 | 11 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 8 |
| 2020 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2019 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 36 | 16 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2016 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2015 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 13 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 193 matches (Apr 2015 – Aug 2021), Olimpik Donetsk drew 54 where the draw model expected 49.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.