What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 25 Nov 2013 → 05 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 16 Mar 2013 → 11 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 30 Mar 2014 → 10 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 4 | 31 Mar 2012 → 27 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 12 Dec 2011 → 15 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Sep 2011 → 29 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 20 Mar 2011 → 10 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 09 Jan 2011 → 06 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 17 Sep 2010 → 23 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Sep 2009 → 04 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 150 | 55 | 36.7% | 6 | 8 |
| Taça de Portugal | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 2013 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 29 | 12 | 41.4% | 4 |
| 2011 | 29 | 11 | 37.9% | 4 |
| 2010 | 30 | 14 | 46.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 4 |
Over 156 matches (Jul 2009 – Oct 2026), SC Olhanense drew 57 where the draw model expected 40.1 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 3.1 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of SC Olhanense.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 39.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.