What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 09 Dec 2023 → 11 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 18 Apr 2019 → 26 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 26 Mar 2023 → 16 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 03 Oct 2021 → 13 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 08 Oct 2017 → 26 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Mar 2024 → 14 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 24 Feb 2019 → 06 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Apr 2018 → 14 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 01 Oct 2023 → 02 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 May 2021 → 25 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 240 | 75 | 31.3% | 1 | 9 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 7 |
| 2023 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 4 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2020 | 25 | 13 | 52.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2017 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 8 |
Over 240 matches (Aug 2017 – Apr 2024), Olbia drew 75 where the draw model expected 73.8 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 72.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.