What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Nov 2006 → 27 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 07 Apr 2012 → 25 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 21 Oct 2005 → 12 Feb 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 23 Apr 2011 → 20 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 12 Nov 2016 → 19 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 31 Oct 2012 → 25 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 04 Aug 2007 → 26 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 08 May 2010 → 21 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 Apr 2000 → 25 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Feb 2013 → 16 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 190 | 58 | 30.5% | 0 | 12 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 136 | 38 | 27.9% | 1 | 12 |
| Regionalliga Südwest | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 4 | 9 |
| DFB-Pokal | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2016 | 24 | 10 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2012 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 13 |
| 2011 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 10 |
| 2010 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2009 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2008 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 1999 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 391 matches (Aug 1970 – Aug 2026), Kickers Offenbach drew 111 where the draw model expected 108.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.