What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 17 Aug 2008 → 09 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 27 Apr 2003 → 12 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 17 Mar 2001 → 13 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 04 Nov 2000 → 10 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 29 Aug 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 16 Feb 2003 → 14 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 06 Aug 2011 → 17 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 23 Aug 2009 → 16 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 07 Dec 2003 → 07 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 17 Nov 2001 → 03 Feb 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 340 | 88 | 25.9% | 4 | 12 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 4 | 8 |
| DFB-Pokal | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Niederrheinpokal | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2011 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 2010 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 2005 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2004 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2003 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2002 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2001 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2000 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1999 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 5 |
| 1998 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 5 |
Over 390 matches (Aug 1998 – Sep 2026), Rot-Weiß Oberhausen drew 104 where the draw model expected 107.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.