What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 25 Jan 2014 → 29 Sep 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 25 | 26 Jan 2002 → 20 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 29 Oct 2021 → 13 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 06 Apr 2001 → 22 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 13 Nov 2000 → 03 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Feb 2016 → 15 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 26 Oct 2011 → 03 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Sep 2010 → 05 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 14 Mar 2004 → 07 Aug 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Aug 2017 → 06 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 622 | 165 | 26.5% | 2 | 17 |
| Bundesliga | 476 | 128 | 26.9% | 3 | 25 |
| DFB-Pokal | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2015 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 26 |
| 2013 | 35 | 18 | 51.4% | 7 |
| 2012 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2009 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2008 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2006 | 37 | 15 | 40.5% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2004 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 12 |
| 2003 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 25 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 14 |
| 2000 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 1997 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 1996 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1995 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 1994 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 3 |
| 1993 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 7 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 434 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), 1. FC Nürnberg drew 117 where the draw model expected 114.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 116.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.