What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 06 Nov 2010 → 30 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 05 Mar 2006 → 17 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 30 Nov 2008 → 22 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 22 Feb 2020 → 20 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 20 Jan 2008 → 06 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 22 May 2010 → 03 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 21 Apr 2012 → 19 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 03 Oct 2004 → 12 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 28 Apr 2002 → 06 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 14 Jan 2017 → 05 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 798 | 254 | 31.8% | 14 | 26 |
| La Liga | 152 | 37 | 24.3% | 3 | 16 |
| Copa del Rey | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2020 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 14 |
| 2019 | 46 | 18 | 39.1% | 4 |
| 2018 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 44 | 18 | 40.9% | 5 |
| 2015 | 43 | 20 | 46.5% | 4 |
| 2014 | 43 | 18 | 41.9% | 4 |
| 2013 | 42 | 19 | 45.2% | 3 |
| 2012 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 19 |
| 2010 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 12 |
| 2008 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2007 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 17 |
| 2005 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2004 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2003 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 7 |
| 2002 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2001 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2000 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1997 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
Over 257 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), CD Numancia drew 92 where the draw model expected 77.8 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 75.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.