What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 Oct 2023 → 01 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 24 Aug 2013 → 23 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 17 Feb 2026 → 25 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 05 Mar 2011 → 23 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 25 Sep 2010 → 14 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 09 Feb 1994 → 09 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 27 Aug 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 26 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 04 Apr 2009 → 29 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 24 Aug 1993 → 20 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 644 | 171 | 26.6% | 0 | 14 |
| League One | 610 | 162 | 26.6% | 1 | 14 |
| FA Cup | 355 | 72 | 20.3% | 0 | 5 |
| National League | 171 | 43 | 25.2% | 0 | 12 |
| League Cup | 156 | 31 | 19.9% | 0 | 5 |
| Championship | 92 | 21 | 22.8% | 0 | 12 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 7 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 15 |
| 2022 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 25 | 5 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2017 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 11 |
| 2015 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2013 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 16 |
| 2012 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2011 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 14 |
| 2010 | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 13 |
| 2009 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2008 | 52 | 22 | 42.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2006 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 9 |
| 2005 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 9 |
| 2004 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2003 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2002 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 55 | 20 | 36.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 1999 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 56 | 19 | 33.9% | 6 |
| 1996 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 10 |
| 1995 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 1993 | 27 | 3 | 11.1% | 12 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1987 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1963 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1920 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1907 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1901 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1900 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1899 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1898 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1894 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1892 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1891 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1890 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1889 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1886 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1885 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1884 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1883 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1882 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1881 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1880 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1879 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1878 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1877 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 566 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Notts County drew 137 where the draw model expected 145.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 150.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.