What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 26 Apr 2009 → 30 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 14 Apr 2019 → 11 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 09 Apr 2012 → 08 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 02 Sep 2007 → 04 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 22 Apr 2007 → 10 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 13 Sep 2009 → 01 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 09 Sep 2012 → 21 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 01 Jul 2007 → 19 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Jun 2018 → 22 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 29 Jul 2012 → 29 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 180 | 32 | 17.8% | 1 | 18 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 17 |
| 2018 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 15 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | 21 |
| 2008 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 232 matches (May 2002 – Sep 2026), Notodden FK drew 41 where the draw model expected 47.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.