What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 27 Feb 2007 → 23 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 12 Aug 2006 → 07 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 14 Oct 2006 → 20 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Aug 2007 → 29 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 04 Apr 2009 → 26 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 29 Nov 2008 → 24 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Apr 2008 → 09 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 08 Dec 2007 → 19 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Mar 2009 → 28 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 20 Oct 2007 → 24 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National League | 138 | 25 | 18.1% | 7 | 16 |
| FA Cup | 65 | 14 | 21.5% | 2 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2008 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 6 |
| 2007 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2006 | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | 14 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1887 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1886 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1885 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1884 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1883 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1882 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 203 matches (Oct 1882 – Dec 2015), Northwich Victoria drew 39 where the draw model expected 50.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.