What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 12 Oct 2012 → 15 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 12 Nov 2015 → 28 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 09 Oct 1996 → 11 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 22 Dec 2010 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 23 Feb 2000 → 06 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Sep 2018 → 21 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 29 Jan 2004 → 04 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Feb 2003 → 06 Sep 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 10 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Jun 2022 → 22 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 117 | 36 | 30.8% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 81 | 19 | 23.5% | 2 | 8 |
| UEFA Euro qualification | 78 | 18 | 23.1% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Nations League | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA European Championship | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2020 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2014 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2003 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 2001 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1997 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1994 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 116 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), North Macedonia drew 29 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 26.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.