North Korea
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 390 matches (Oct 1956 – Jun 2025), North Korea drew 106 where the draw model expected 83.2 from those particular fixtures — about 23 more, or 2.9 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 85.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 03 Nov 1992 → 28 Apr 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 09 Feb 2005 → 31 Jul 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 16 Sep 1980 → 26 Dec 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 07 Jun 2019 → 10 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 19 Jul 1966 → 06 Dec 1966 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Aug 1965 → 24 Nov 1965 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 24 Aug 2016 → 12 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 06 Nov 2014 → 18 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 31 Jul 2008 → 24 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 May 1974 → 12 Sep 1974 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 103 | 24 | 23.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Friendly | 98 | 31 | 31.6% | 0 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 4 | 4 |
| EAFF Championship | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Asian Games | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 1 | 5 |
| King's Cup | 21 | 11 | 52.4% | 0 | 2 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Dynasty Cup | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 0 | 3 |
| Merlion Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 | 3 |
| GaNEFo | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| East Asian Games | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 |
| VFF Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Nehru Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2017 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 5 |
| 2016 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2015 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2013 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 5 |
| 2010 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2008 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 6 |
| 2007 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2004 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2003 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2002 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 9 |
| 1992 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1982 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1965 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
