What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 04 Jun 2017 → 10 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 22 Sep 2025 → 27 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 20 Aug 2015 → 27 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 19 May 2024 → 26 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 17 May 2021 → 29 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 10 Jul 2023 → 18 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 17 Aug 2013 → 21 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 05 Aug 2019 → 15 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 24 Aug 2016 → 26 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 13 Mar 2016 → 15 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 420 | 96 | 22.9% | 7 | 11 |
| Swedish Cup | 154 | 28 | 18.2% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 12 |
| 2023 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2022 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2020 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2018 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 8 |
| 2017 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 15 |
| 2016 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2014 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2012 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1944 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1943 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 402 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), IFK Norrköping drew 88 where the draw model expected 91.1 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 96.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.