FC Nordsjælland
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 451 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), FC Nordsjælland drew 112 where the draw model expected 111.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 113.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 16 Aug 2015 → 06 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 04 Apr 2015 → 03 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 12 May 2017 → 27 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Nov 2024 → 13 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 02 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 16 May 2025 → 31 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Sep 2018 → 20 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 29 Jul 2018 → 26 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 06 Dec 2013 → 31 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 15 Jul 2008 → 28 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 477 | 122 | 25.6% | 2 | 22 |
| Danish Cup | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 2 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 2 | 9.1% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 4 |
| 2021 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2018 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 9 |
| 2017 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 35 | 2 | 5.7% | 15 |
| 2014 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 2013 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 11:00 |
Malmö FF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Heart of Midlothian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
FC Nordsjælland
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.5% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
AS Monaco
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.