What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 15 Jan 2017 → 19 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 19 Oct 1997 → 08 Apr 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 14 Dec 2003 → 17 Apr 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 29 May 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 15 Aug 2011 → 27 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 06 Dec 2009 → 19 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 11 May 2025 → 28 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Mar 2001 → 22 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 21 Apr 2024 → 21 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Dec 2012 → 31 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 929 | 243 | 26.2% | 1 | 19 |
| KNVB Cup | 58 | 11 | 19.0% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2024 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2023 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 9 |
| 2021 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 20 | 0 | 0.0% | 20 |
| 2016 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 5 |
| 2014 | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 3 |
| 2013 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 15 |
| 2010 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2009 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2008 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 10 |
| 2007 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2006 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2005 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 14 |
| 2003 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 16 |
| 2002 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 12 |
| 2000 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| 1997 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 10 |
| 1996 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 1995 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 10 |
| 1994 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Over 295 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), NEC Nijmegen drew 82 where the draw model expected 64.8 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 66.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.