What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 22 Mar 2024 → 19 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 13 Aug 2022 → 30 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 01 Mar 2013 → 11 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 08 Dec 2024 → 03 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Nov 2020 → 21 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Nov 2023 → 12 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Apr 2018 → 10 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 Apr 2017 → 11 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 May 2013 → 13 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Sep 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 417 | 132 | 31.7% | 0 | 10 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 3 | 10 |
| Copa Argentina | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 2025 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 412 matches (Feb 2015 – Nov 2026), Newell's Old Boys drew 118 where the draw model expected 129.3 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 124.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.