New Zealand
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 419 matches (Jun 1922 – Jun 2026), New Zealand drew 74 where the draw model expected 86.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 89.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 3 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11 Oct 2024 → 09 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 09 Oct 2021 → 05 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 18 Jan 1997 → 21 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 25 Mar 2017 → 01 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 05 Jul 2002 → 16 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 22 May 2001 → 24 Jun 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 17 Nov 1988 → 02 Apr 1989 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 19 Dec 1981 → 23 Jun 1982 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 15 Nov 2025 → 06 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 08 Jun 2012 → 16 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 197 | 37 | 18.8% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 85 | 15 | 17.7% | 5 | 6 |
| Oceania Nations Cup | 46 | 3 | 6.5% | 4 | 5 |
| Soccer Ashes | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 3 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Confederations Cup | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Trans-Tasman Cup | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 | 3 |
| Korea Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Vietnam Independence Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Four Nations' Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| OSN Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Canadian Shield | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2022 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2016 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2010 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2002 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2001 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1999 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1997 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1995 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1984 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1980 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 1979 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
